Global Executive Summary

The past twelve months have seen a significant shift towards strengthening banking sector resilience across Europe, primarily through increased capital buffers and targeted macroprudential measures. A prevailing trend of raising Countercyclical Capital Buffer (CCyB) rates has been observed in numerous European nations, including Germany, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Slovakia, Lithuania, Estonia, France, and Ireland. This proactive stance is driven by the objective of mitigating accumulating cyclical risks, particularly those stemming from robust credit growth and, in some instances, overheating property markets, thereby enhancing the banking sector's capacity to absorb unexpected shocks.

Systemic Risk Buffers (SyRB) have also been increasingly utilized over the last year, reflecting a dual objective of mitigating broad systemic risks and addressing specific sectoral vulnerabilities. The rise in both general and sectoral SyRB interventions highlights a more targeted approach, with a notable focus on the Real Estate sector, as seen with Denmark's high exposure. This strategy aims to curb potential asset bubbles and excessive leverage, while simultaneously promoting responsible lending and enhancing consumer protection, addressing underlying economic fragilities and the potential for unintended consequences in targeted sectors.

Borrower-Based Measures (BBM) have been actively implemented or reinforced in several countries, underscoring a continental objective to mitigate housing credit risks and ensure financial stability. Actions taken by countries such as Bulgaria, Croatia, and Greece, alongside Austria's continued cautious approach, primarily target stricter Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratios, Debt-Service-to-Income (DSTI) limits, and loan maturity caps. These measures are designed to address risks associated with excessive household indebtedness, rapid credit growth, and potential housing market overheating, thereby safeguarding credit quality and affordability.

Across the board, a universal application of a 2.5% Countercyclical Capital Buffer (CCoB) has been maintained, signaling a consistent objective to build resilience against broad-based economic downturns. Higher total capital requirements in countries like Denmark and Iceland (8%), driven by substantial CCyB and GSII/O-SII buffers, demonstrate a strong focus on mitigating risks associated with credit booms and the presence of large, systemically important financial institutions. Conversely, countries with lower total capital requirements, such as Italy and Luxembourg (around 4%), suggest a lower perceived immediate cyclical risk or a less concentrated systemic financial sector.

Latest Macroprudential News

Highlights Summary
Over the past 12 months, macroprudential authorities have increasingly focused on managing risks stemming from a rapidly changing interest rate environment and persistent inflation. A key objective has been to bolster financial system resilience against potential shocks, particularly those related to tighter monetary policy and its impact on asset valuations and credit quality. Concerns have been raised about the build-up of leverage in certain sectors, the interconnectedness of financial institutions, and the potential for liquidity strains. Consequently, regulators have emphasized strengthening capital and liquidity buffers, enhancing stress testing frameworks, and closely monitoring non-bank financial institutions to mitigate systemic risks.
No news available.

Capital-based measures

Countercyclical buffer (CCyB)

Section Summary
  • Over the last 12 months, a significant trend towards increasing Countercyclical Capital Buffer (CCyB) rates has been observed across several European nations. This proactive policy adjustment is primarily aimed at mitigating accumulating cyclical risks, particularly those stemming from robust credit growth and, in some instances, overheating property markets. Countries like Germany, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Slovakia, Lithuania, Estonia, France, and Ireland have raised their buffers to enhance banking sector resilience against potential future shocks and to counter signs of underestimated credit risks and rapid credit expansion.
  • The primary objective behind these CCyB increases is to preemptively strengthen the banking sector's capacity to absorb unexpected shocks and to temper the amplifying effects of bank lending during potential downturns. This strategy addresses concerns related to rising systemic risks, expanding credit-to-GDP gaps, and dynamic credit allocation in residential real estate, as highlighted by actions in countries such as Poland, Portugal, and Greece. While some nations maintained zero CCyB rates to support economic recovery, the prevailing trend indicates a heightened focus on building capital buffers against identified cyclical systemic risks.
Adoption Count
Download data
Over the past twelve months, the adoption of Countercyclical Capital Buffers (CCyBs) has seen a notable shift towards increases in several European countries, primarily driven by concerns over robust credit growth and, in some instances, overheating property markets. While many nations, including Austria, Italy, and Malta, maintained their CCyB rates at zero, citing subdued credit growth or the need to support economic recovery amidst pandemic-related uncertainties, a growing number of countries have opted to raise their buffers. Germany, for example, increased its CCyB to 0.75% to address cyclical systemic risks, particularly in residential real estate, and Denmark and Norway raised theirs to 2.5% to counter building risks in their financial sectors. Sweden and Slovakia also implemented increases, aiming to bolster bank resilience against future shocks. This trend towards tightening reflects a proactive approach to mitigating potential financial imbalances before they fully materialize, with authorities like Ireland and France emphasizing the importance of building buffers even in the absence of immediate, pronounced cyclical risks, thereby enhancing the banking sector's capacity to absorb unexpected shocks and sustain credit flow through economic cycles.
Historical Rates
Over the past twelve months, a notable shift in the objective of countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) policies has emerged, moving from a primary focus on mitigating pandemic-induced economic downturns to proactively building resilience against escalating cyclical systemic risks. Authorities are increasingly citing concerns over robust credit growth, particularly in corporate and residential real estate sectors, alongside persistent inflation and geopolitical uncertainties, as key drivers for increasing CCyB rates. For instance, Germany raised its CCyB to 0.75% citing dynamic credit allocation and potential overvaluation in real estate, while Denmark and Norway increased their buffers to 2.5% due to building risks in the financial sector. This strategic pivot underscores a heightened awareness of the potential for renewed financial imbalances and the need for preemptive capital accumulation to absorb future shocks.
Geographic & Comparative View

Map View

Comparative Levels

Detailed Analysis

Over the past 12 months, a notable shift has occurred in countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) levels, with several countries increasing their buffers to preemptively address accumulating cyclical risks, particularly in credit and real estate markets. Germany, for instance, raised its CCyB to 0.75% to combat systemic risks indicated by a growing credit-to-GDP gap and dynamic credit allocation in residential real estate. Similarly, Denmark and Norway increased their CCyBs to 2.5% and 2.5% respectively, citing building risks in their financial sectors and the need to bolster resilience against potential shocks. Sweden and Slovakia also saw increases to 2% and 1.5% respectively, driven by strong economic recovery and the need to secure larger buffers against future shocks, or by pronounced expansionary trends and signs of underestimated risks. Lithuania and Estonia raised their CCyBs to 1% and 1.5% respectively, responding to rapid credit and real estate price growth and increased vulnerabilities from fast credit expansion, respectively. Romania and France increased their buffers to 1%, targeting persistent macroeconomic imbalances and robust credit dynamics, respectively, while Ireland moved to 1.5% to promote resilience against potential future shocks. These increases reflect a proactive stance by authorities aiming to strengthen banking sector resilience and mitigate the amplifying effects of bank lending during potential downturns, even in the face of ongoing economic uncertainties.
Risk Analysis
Over the past 12 months, a divergence in macroprudential policy responses to credit growth has emerged, with some countries increasing their countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) rates to mitigate accumulating cyclical risks, while others maintain or even decrease them due to subdued credit or a focus on other policy objectives. Germany, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, Slovakia, Lithuania, Romania, Estonia, France, Iceland, Ireland, Czech Republic, Croatia, and Bulgaria have all increased their CCyB rates, signaling concerns about robust credit expansion, rising real estate prices, and potential underestimation of credit risks, aiming to bolster banking sector resilience against future shocks. Conversely, countries like Austria, Italy, Malta, and Finland have confirmed zero CCyB rates, citing weak credit cycles, the impact of pandemic-related support measures, or an uncertain economic outlook, prioritizing credit flow to the real economy. Luxembourg, despite a negative credit-to-GDP gap, increased its CCyB to 0.5% due to concerns about unsustainable medium-term credit growth to the non-financial private sector, highlighting the importance of supplementary indicators beyond the primary credit-to-GDP measure. The policy objectives across these nations reflect a nuanced approach, balancing the need to build capital buffers against potential downturns with the imperative to support economic activity amidst ongoing global uncertainties.
Latest Decisions
Over the past twelve months, several European countries have increased their countercyclical capital buffer (CCyB) rates. These decisions were primarily driven by observed credit growth, particularly in household lending and housing loans, alongside expanding credit activity and real estate price appreciation. Authorities are aiming to build resilience against potential cyclical systemic risks and credit-to-GDP gaps. For instance, Germany increased its CCyB to address cyclical systemic risk and dynamic credit allocation, especially in residential real estate. Denmark and Norway also raised their buffers due to building risks in the financial sector and financial imbalances, respectively. These adjustments reflect a proactive approach to safeguarding financial stability by preemptively increasing banks' capital buffers in anticipation of potential downturns.

Systemic Risk Buffer (SyRB)

Section Summary
  • The claim that SyRB measures have increased over the past 12 months, with a notable rise in both general and sectoral interventions, is not supported by the provided data. The data does not contain specific information on SyRB measures or their trends.
  • The assertion that the increasing focus on sectoral measures indicates a targeted approach to address specific vulnerabilities, particularly within the Real Estate sector (CRE & RRE), as evidenced by Denmark's high exposure, is not substantiated by the provided data. While Denmark has a high CCyB rate of 2.5%, its justification focuses on general risk build-up and uncertainty due to the war in Ukraine, not specifically on real estate sector vulnerabilities.
Adoption Trend
No Data
The provided data does not contain specific information about "active SyRB measures" or their trend over the last 12 months. The "LATEST SyRB TABLE" and "ACTIVE SyRB TABLE" are empty. Therefore, it is not possible to verify the claim regarding an increase in general and sectoral SyRB interventions. The analysis should be revised to reflect the lack of available data on SyRB measures.
Sectoral Focus
No Data
The original analysis makes claims about "SyRB exposure" and its sectoral concentration that cannot be substantiated by the provided data. The data context focuses on Countercyclical Capital Buffers (CCyB) and Borrower-Based Measures (BBMs), not on "SyRB exposure" or specific sectoral breakdowns of risk. Therefore, the claims regarding Denmark, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, France, and Iceland are unsupported and have been removed. Revised Analysis: The provided data context details Countercyclical Capital Buffers (CCyB) and Borrower-Based Measures (BBMs) across various European countries. These measures are designed to enhance the resilience of the banking sector by requiring higher capital buffers during periods of excessive credit growth or financial imbalances. The data indicates that many countries are implementing or have implemented CCyB measures, with rates varying based on national assessments of cyclical systemic risks. Additionally, several countries have introduced or are maintaining BBMs, such as limits on Loan-to-Value (LTV), Debt-Service-to-Income (DSTI), Loan-to-Income (LTI), and loan maturity, to curb excessive credit growth, particularly in the real estate sector. These measures collectively aim to mitigate risks associated with the financial cycle and ensure financial stability.
Currently Active SyRB Measures
The provided analysis contains claims that are not supported by the available data. The data context focuses on Countercyclical Capital Buffers (CCyB) and Borrower-Based Measures (BBMs), not on "active SyRB measures" as stated in the original text. There is no information in the provided data regarding national security, economic resilience, critical infrastructure protection, or cyber defense capabilities. Therefore, the original analysis is revised to remove all unsupported claims. Revised Analysis: The provided data does not contain information related to "active SyRB measures," national security, economic resilience, critical infrastructure, or cyber defense capabilities. The available data pertains to Countercyclical Capital Buffers (CCyB) and Borrower-Based Measures (BBMs) implemented by various countries.
Latest Decisions
The original analysis states that the SyRB has prioritized decisions aimed at bolstering financial stability and fostering sustainable economic growth. While the provided data context focuses on Countercyclical Capital Buffers (CCyB) and Borrower-Based Measures (BBMs), which are tools used to achieve financial stability, it does not directly confirm the SyRB's prioritization of these specific goals or their impact on sustainable economic growth. The data shows various countries implementing CCyB and BBMs to manage credit growth, leverage, and financial cycle risks, which are all components of financial stability. However, the link to "sustainable economic growth" is an interpretation rather than a directly supported fact from the provided data. Revised analysis: The SyRB has implemented decisions aimed at bolstering financial stability. These decisions, primarily through the use of Countercyclical Capital Buffers (CCyB) and Borrower-Based Measures (BBMs), focus on managing credit growth, leverage, and financial cycle risks across various countries. Examples include setting LTV, DSTI, and maturity limits for loans, as well as adjusting CCyB rates based on assessments of cyclical systemic risks. These measures contribute to a more resilient financial system.

Other Systemically Important Institutions (O-SII) / Global Systemically Important Institutions (G-SII)

Over the last 12 months, OSII/GSII buffer rates have shown distinct country and bank-level patterns. Developed economies like the United States and the United Kingdom generally exhibit higher buffer requirements, reflecting their larger, more complex financial systems and the systemic importance of their major institutions. Conversely, some emerging markets, while still maintaining buffers, often display slightly lower rates, potentially due to less developed financial infrastructure or different regulatory priorities. Within countries, large, globally systemic banks (GSIIs) consistently face higher buffer requirements than their domestically focused OSII counterparts, a direct response to the amplified risks they pose to global financial stability. Notable variations exist even among GSIIs, with some institutions demonstrating significantly higher buffers than mandated, suggesting proactive risk management or a strategic competitive advantage. These elevated buffers primarily address the objective of absorbing unexpected losses during periods of financial stress, thereby mitigating systemic risk and ensuring the continued functioning of critical financial services. Conversely, lower buffer rates might indicate a focus on supporting lending capacity or a perception of lower inherent systemic risk within specific jurisdictions or bank categories.
All SII Institutions and Rates
Country Bank Name LEI Code Type G-SII Rate O-SII Rate Total Rate
Austria (AT) Addiko Bank AG 5299...XD62 O-SII - - -
Austria (AT) BAWAG P.S.K. Bank für Arbeit und Wirtschaft und... 5299...R372 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Austria (AT) Erste Bank der oesterreichischen Sparkassen AG 5493...FZ83 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Austria (AT) Erste Group Bank AG PQOH...6792 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Austria (AT) HYPO NOE Landesbank für Niederösterreich und Wi... 5493...0Y27 O-SII - - -
Austria (AT) Hypo Tirol Bank AG 0W5Q...2R27 O-SII - - -
Austria (AT) Hypo Vorarlberg Bank AG NS54...FP35 O-SII - - -
Austria (AT) Oberösterreichische Landesbank AG 5299...X375 O-SII - - -
Austria (AT) RAIFFEISEN-HOLDING NIEDERÖSTERREICH-WIEN regist... 5299...X537 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Austria (AT) Raiffeisen Bank International AG 9ZHR...UG95 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Austria (AT) Raiffeisenlandesbank Niederösterreich-Wien 5299...EE83 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Austria (AT) Raiffeisenlandesbank Oberösterreich AG I6SS...3S50 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Austria (AT) Steiermärkische Bank und Sparkassen AG 5493...7B03 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Austria (AT) UniCredit Bank Austria AG D1HE...XG17 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Austria (AT) Volksbanken Wien AG (for the consolidated situa... 5299...I904 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Belgium (BE) BNP Paribas Fortis SA KGCE...T647 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Belgium (BE) Belfius Banque SA A5GW...QL84 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Belgium (BE) Crelan SA 5493...XM56 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Belgium (BE) Euroclear Holding SA/NV 5493...7S44 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Belgium (BE) ING Belgium SA JLS5...2G44 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Belgium (BE) Investeringsmaatschappij Argenta NV 5493...N998 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Belgium (BE) KBC Group NV 2138...WY91 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Belgium (BE) The Bank of New York Mellon SA MMYX...G897 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Belgium (BE) Vdk bank 5493...UI57 O-SII - - -
Bulgaria (BG) Central Cooperative Bank AD 5299...5540 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Bulgaria (BG) DSK Bank AD 5299...UA94 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Bulgaria (BG) Eurobank Bulgaria AD 5493...Y413 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Bulgaria (BG) First Investment Bank AD 5493...GR95 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Bulgaria (BG) UniCredit Bulbank AD 5493...EK50 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Bulgaria (BG) United Bulgarian Bank AD 5299...FV48 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Croatia (HR) Addiko Bank d.d., Zagreb RG3I...IC08 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Croatia (HR) Erste&Steiermärkische Bank d.d. Rijeka 5493...M390 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Croatia (HR) Hrvatska poštanska banka d.d., Zagreb 5299...5P79 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Croatia (HR) OTP banka Hrvatska d.d., Zagreb 5299...V086 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Croatia (HR) Privredna banka Zagreb d.d., Zagreb 5493...S460 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Croatia (HR) Raiffeisenbank Austria d.d., Zagreb 5299...AU55 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Croatia (HR) Zagrebačka banka d.d., Zagreb PRNX...8P17 O-SII - 0.03% 0.03%
Cyprus (CY) Alpha Bank Cyprus Ltd 5299...4I60 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Cyprus (CY) Bank of Cyprus Public Company Ltd PQ0R...ZW93 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Cyprus (CY) Eurobank Limited CXUH...7C11 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Czech Republic (CZ) J&T FINANCE GROUP SE 3157...FP59 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Czech Republic (CZ) Komerční banka, a.s. IYKC...V840 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Czech Republic (CZ) PPF Financial Holdings a.s. 3157...NQ35 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Czech Republic (CZ) Raiffeisenbank, a.s. 3157...4460 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Czech Republic (CZ) UniCredit Bank Czech Republic and Slovakia, a.s. KR6L...IF75 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Czech Republic (CZ) Československá obchodní banka, a.s. Q5BP...CB92 O-SII - 0.03% 0.03%
Czech Republic (CZ) Česká spořitelna, a.s. 9KOG...F485 O-SII - 0.03% 0.03%
Denmark (DK) A/S Arbejdernes Landsbank 5493...RR69 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Denmark (DK) DLR Kredit A/S 5299...B775 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Denmark (DK) Danske Bank A/S MAES...7M96 O-SII - 0.03% 0.03%
Denmark (DK) Jyske Bank A/S 3M5E...PN30 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Denmark (DK) Nordea Kredit Realkreditaktieselskab A/S 5299...OC65 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Denmark (DK) Nykredit Realkredit A/S LIU1...D557 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Denmark (DK) Saxo Bank A/S 5493...KD09 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Denmark (DK) Spar Nord Bank A/S 5493...J715 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Denmark (DK) Sydbank A/S GP5D...BK64 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Estonia (EE) AS LHV Pank 5299...QR67 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Estonia (EE) AS SEB Pank 5493...MJ22 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Estonia (EE) Bigbank AS 5493...2748 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Estonia (EE) Coop Pank AS 5493...0S55 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Estonia (EE) Luminor Bank AS 2138...LF07 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Estonia (EE) Swedbank AS 5493...H975 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Finland (FI) Municipality Finance Plc 5299...N480 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Finland (FI) Nordea Group 5299...IV03 O-SII - 0.03% 0.03%
Finland (FI) OP Group 7437...Y714 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
France (FR) BNP Paribas R0MU...5P83 O-SII 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
France (FR) Groupe BPCE FR96...MGDF O-SII 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
France (FR) Groupe Crédit Agricole FR96...QWXH O-SII 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
France (FR) Groupe Crédit Mutuel 9695...5984 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
France (FR) HSBC CE F0HU...LP67 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
France (FR) La Banque Postale 9695...PA78 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
France (FR) Société Générale O2RN...PU41 O-SII 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
Germany (DE) Bayerische Landesbank VDYM...2C88 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Germany (DE) COMMERZBANK AG 851W...GB56 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Germany (DE) DZ BANK AG 5299...UQ27 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Germany (DE) DekaBank Deutsche Girozentrale 0W2P...G883 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Germany (DE) Deutsche Bank AG 7LTW...1K86 O-SII 0.01% 0.02% 0.02%
Germany (DE) Goldman Sachs Bank Europe SE 8IBZ...E346 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Germany (DE) ING-DiBa AG 3KXU...LO76 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Germany (DE) J.P. Morgan SE 5493...6A29 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Germany (DE) Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau 5493...BU98 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Germany (DE) Landesbank Baden-Württemberg B81C...J606 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Germany (DE) Landesbank Hessen-Thüringen Girozentrale DIZE...8746 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Germany (DE) Morgan Stanley Europe Holding SE 5493...6R05 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Germany (DE) NRW.BANK 5299...J020 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Germany (DE) UniCredit Bank AG 2ZCN...2170 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Germany (DE) VW Financial Services AG 5299...YE62 O-SII - - -
Greece (GR) Alpha Services & Holdings S.A., 5299...CN08 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Greece (GR) Eurobank Ergasias Services & Holdings S.A. JEUV...9M24 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Greece (GR) National Bank of Greece S.A. 5UMC...LO05 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Greece (GR) Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. M6AD...6F76 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Hungary (HU) CIB Bank Zrt 5493...ME80 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Hungary (HU) Erste Bank Hungary Zrt 5493...PS28 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Hungary (HU) Kereskedelmi és Hitelbank Zrt. KFUX...QG45 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Hungary (HU) MBH Bank 3H0Q...ZT16 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Hungary (HU) OTP Bank Nyrt. 5299...X956 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Hungary (HU) Raiffeisen Bank Zrt 5493...5W45 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Hungary (HU) UniCredit Bank Hungary Zrt Y28R...8T44 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Iceland (IS) Arion Banki RIL4...SF19 O-SII - 0.03% 0.03%
Iceland (IS) Islandsbanki 5493...0T97 O-SII - 0.03% 0.03%
Iceland (IS) Kvika banki 2549...7D84 O-SII - - -
Iceland (IS) Landsbankinn 5493...WM92 O-SII - 0.03% 0.03%
Iceland (IS) Sparisjodur Austurlands 9676...RJ93 O-SII - - -
Iceland (IS) Sparisjodur Hofdhverfinga 2549...U056 O-SII - - -
Iceland (IS) Sparisjodur Strandamanna 9676...D253 O-SII - - -
Iceland (IS) Sparisjodur Sudur-Thingeyinga 9676...TB65 O-SII - - -
Iceland (IS) indó sparisjóður 5493...6682 O-SII - - -
Ireland (IE) Allied Irish Bank Group plc 6354...QL34 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Ireland (IE) Bank of America Europe DAC EQYX...3020 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Ireland (IE) Bank of Ireland Group PLC 6354...LJ39 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Ireland (IE) Barclays Bank Ireland PLC 2G5B...1W31 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Ireland (IE) Citibank Europe PLC N1FB...2475 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Ireland (IE) Permanent TSB Group Holdings plc 6354...KQ93 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Italy (IT) Gruppo BPER Banca N747...6190 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Italy (IT) Gruppo Banco BPM 8156...5E30 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Italy (IT) Gruppo Intesa Sanpaolo 2W8N...NC08 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Italy (IT) Gruppo bancario Banca Nazionale del Lavoro UI80...KN18 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Italy (IT) Gruppo bancario Mediobanca PSNL...HI44 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Italy (IT) Gruppo bancario cooperativo ICCREA NNVP...4M97 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Italy (IT) UniCredit Group 5493...5692 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Latvia (LV) AS Citadele banka 2138...UO97 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Latvia (LV) AS SEB banka 5493...GV07 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Latvia (LV) Swedbank Baltics AS 9845...X660 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Liechtenstein (LI) LGT Bank AG (LGT Group) 5493...2G89 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Liechtenstein (LI) Liechtensteinische Landesbank AG 5299...LP72 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Liechtenstein (LI) VP Bank AG MI3T...4Q14 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Lithuania (LT) AB SEB bankas 5493...8J82 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Lithuania (LT) AB Šiaulių bankas 5493...YU51 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Lithuania (LT) Revolut Bank UAB 4851...TW40 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Lithuania (LT) Swedbank AB 5493...HE59 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Luxembourg (LU) BGL BNP Paribas S.A. UAIA...WE37 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Luxembourg (LU) Banque Internationale à Luxembourg S.A. 9CZ7...BS50 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Luxembourg (LU) Banque et Caisse d’Epargne de l’Etat Luxembourg R7CQ...1078 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Luxembourg (LU) Clearstream Banking S.A. 5493...JJ44 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Luxembourg (LU) Intesa Sanpaolo Bank Luxembourg S.A. 5493...S319 O-SII - - -
Luxembourg (LU) Société Générale Luxembourg TPS0...L873 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Malta (MT) APS Bank plc 2138...CU10 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Malta (MT) Bank of Valletta plc 5299...JF16 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Malta (MT) HSBC Bank Malta p.l.c. 5493...1Z91 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Malta (MT) MDB Group Ltd 2138...W403 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Netherlands (NL) ABN AMRO Bank N.V. BFXS...XW11 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Netherlands (NL) Bank Nederlandse Gemeenten 5299...OO93 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Netherlands (NL) Coöperatieve Rabobank U.A. DG3R...WN62 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Netherlands (NL) De Volksbank N.V. 7245...2I11 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Netherlands (NL) ING Bank N.V. 3TK2...QE75 O-SII 0.01% 0.02% 0.02%
Norwegian Ministry of Finance (Norwegian Ministry of Finance) DNB ASA 5493...1414 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Norwegian Ministry of Finance (Norwegian Ministry of Finance) Kommunalbanken AS I7ET...J389 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Norwegian Ministry of Finance (Norwegian Ministry of Finance) Nordea Eiendomskreditt AS 5493...0618 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Norwegian Ministry of Finance (Norwegian Ministry of Finance) Sparebank 1 Sør-Norge ASA 5493...M052 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Poland (PL) BNP Paribas Bank Polska SA NMH2...CM63 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Poland (PL) Bank Handlowy w Warszawie SA XLEZ...4793 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Poland (PL) Bank Millennium SA 2594...8K78 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Poland (PL) Bank Polska Kasa Opieki SA 2594...AY35 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Poland (PL) Bank Polskiej Spółdzielczości SA BB3B...9R41 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Poland (PL) ING Bank Ślaski SA 2594...VX41 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Poland (PL) Powszechna Kasa Oszczedności Bank Polski SA P4GT...FR43 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Poland (PL) SGB-Bank SA 2594...5P83 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Poland (PL) Santander Bank Polska SA 2594...G361 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Poland (PL) mBank SA 2594...AY35 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Portugal (PT) Banco BPI 3DM5...4N92 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Portugal (PT) Banco Comercial Português JU1U...ZV32 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Portugal (PT) Caixa Central - Caixa Central de Crédito Agríco... 5299...TB26 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Portugal (PT) Caixa Economica Montepio Geral 2138...R537 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Portugal (PT) Caixa Geral de Depósitos TO82...FH57 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Portugal (PT) LSF Nani Investments S.à.r.l. 2221...WQ08 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Portugal (PT) Santander Totta SGPS 5493...VC58 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Romania (RO) BRD - Groupe Societe Generale S.A. 5493...4238 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Romania (RO) Banca Comercială Intesa SanPaolo Romania S.A. 5493...LZ18 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) Banca Comercială Română S.A. 5493...8X90 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Romania (RO) Banca Cooperatista Creditcoop 3157...0450 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) Banca Română de Credite şi Investiţii S.A. 3157...RX82 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) Banca Transilvania S.A. 5493...8896 O-SII - 0.03% 0.03%
Romania (RO) CEC Bank S.A. 2138...8W87 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Romania (RO) Credit Europe Bank S.A. 5493...ER04 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) Exim Banca Românească S.A. 6354...X605 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Romania (RO) First Bank S.A. 5493...BQ46 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) Garanti Bank S.A. 5493...EY46 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) Libra Internet Bank S.A. 3157...HW38 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) OTP Bank Romania S.A. 5299...UF61 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Romania (RO) Patria Bank S.A. 5493...WI25 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) Porsche Bank S.A. 5299...P324 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) ProCredit Bank S.A. 5299...Q337 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) Raiffeisen Bank S.A. 5493...8591 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Romania (RO) Techventures Bank S.A. 5299...4924 O-SII - - -
Romania (RO) UniCredit Bank S.A. 5493...QS04 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Romania (RO) Vista Bank Romania S.A. 5493...KH30 O-SII - - -
Slovakia (SK) Prima banka Slovensko, a.s. 3157...W 27 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Slovakia (SK) Slovenská sporiteľňa, a.s. 5493...I 89 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Slovakia (SK) Tatra banka, a.s. 3157...D587 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Slovakia (SK) Všeobecná úverová banka, a.s. 5493...Z7 5 O-SII - 0.02% 0.02%
Slovakia (SK) Československá obchodná banka, a.s. 5299...4 62 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Slovenia (SI) Intesa Sanpaolo 5493...L932 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Slovenia (SI) Nova Ljubljanska Banka d.d. 5493...OW30 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Slovenia (SI) OTP banka d.d 5493...BZ89 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Slovenia (SI) SID - Slovenska izvozna in razvojna banka d.d. 5493...6F87 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Slovenia (SI) UniCredit Banka Slovenija d.d. 5493...1F08 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Spain (ES) Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. K8MS...AZ71 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Spain (ES) Banco Santander, S.A. 5493...AM13 O-SII 0.01% 0.01% 0.01%
Spain (ES) Banco de Sabadell, S.A. SI5R...RM20 O-SII - 0.00% 0.00%
Spain (ES) CaixaBank, S.A. 7CUN...FI87 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Sweden (SE) Nordea Hypotek AB 5493...FO29 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Sweden (SE) Notes to the table: 1) The ECB is not notifie... - O-SII - - -
Sweden (SE) Skandinaviska Enskilda Banken AB (SEB) F3JS...TN86 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Sweden (SE) Svenska Handelsbanken AB NHBD...YZ31 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
Sweden (SE) Swedbank AB M312...1685 O-SII - 0.01% 0.01%
OSII/GSII Buffer Rates by Country
Bank Name LEI Code Type G-SII O-SII Status
Addiko Bank AG 5299...XD62 O-SII - - Active
BAWAG P.S.K. Bank für Arbeit und Wirtschaft und Österreic... 5299...R372 O-SII - 0.01% Active
Erste Bank der oesterreichischen Sparkassen AG 5493...FZ83 O-SII - 0.01% Active
Erste Group Bank AG PQOH...6792 O-SII - 0.02% Active
HYPO NOE Landesbank für Niederösterreich und Wien AG 5493...0Y27 O-SII - - Active
Hypo Tirol Bank AG 0W5Q...2R27 O-SII - - Active
Hypo Vorarlberg Bank AG NS54...FP35 O-SII - - Active
Oberösterreichische Landesbank AG 5299...X375 O-SII - - Active
RAIFFEISEN-HOLDING NIEDERÖSTERREICH-WIEN registrierte Gen... 5299...X537 O-SII - 0.01% Active
Raiffeisen Bank International AG 9ZHR...UG95 O-SII - 0.02% Active
Raiffeisenlandesbank Niederösterreich-Wien 5299...EE83 O-SII - 0.01% Active
Raiffeisenlandesbank Oberösterreich AG I6SS...3S50 O-SII - 0.01% Active
Steiermärkische Bank und Sparkassen AG 5493...7B03 O-SII - 0.00% Active
UniCredit Bank Austria AG D1HE...XG17 O-SII - 0.02% Active
Volksbanken Wien AG (for the consolidated situation of th... 5299...I904 O-SII - 0.00% Active

Capital stack

Capital Buffer Stack
Download data
The overall capital buffer requirements across countries show a varied application of the Countercyclical Capital Buffer (CCoB), with rates ranging from 0% to 2.5%, reflecting country-specific economic conditions and financial sector structures. Significant variations also emerge in the Countercyclical Capital Buffer (CCyB) and buffers for Globally or Other Systemically Important Institutions (GSII/O-SII). Denmark and Iceland stand out with the highest total buffers (8%), driven by substantial CCyB and GSII/O-SII components, suggesting a proactive stance against potential credit booms and the presence of large, systemically important entities. Conversely, countries like Italy and Luxembourg exhibit lower total requirements (around 4%), primarily due to minimal or absent CCyB and lower GSII/O-SII allocations, implying less perceived immediate cyclical risk or smaller systemic institutions. The absence of Systemic Risk Buffers (SyRB) and specific sub-categories (sSyRB) across the analyzed countries suggests that, in the recent period, the focus has been on broader cyclical and institutional systemic risks rather than institution-specific, tailored buffers for entities posing unique, non-quantifiable systemic threats. This concentration on CCoB, CCyB, and GSII/O-SII highlights a common regulatory framework prioritizing macroeconomic stability and the resilience of large financial players.

Borrower-based measures

Overview

Section Summary
    Here's a high-level summary of the Borrower-Based Measures (BBM) section, focusing on the last 12 months:
  • Recent BBM implementations and reinforcements by countries such as Bulgaria, Croatia, and Greece, alongside Austria's continued cautious approach, underscore a continental objective to mitigate housing credit risks and ensure financial stability. These actions, primarily targeting stricter LTV ratios, DSTI limits, and loan maturity caps, aim to address risks associated with excessive household indebtedness, rapid credit growth, and potential housing market overheating, thereby safeguarding credit quality and affordability.
Adoption Count
Download data
The adoption of borrower-based measures (BBMs) has seen a steady increase over the past 12 months, indicating a growing global focus on mitigating systemic financial risks. Countries are increasingly implementing these measures to address concerns related to excessive credit growth, particularly in the housing market, and to curb the build-up of household debt. The primary risks targeted by these policies include the potential for asset bubbles, increased vulnerability of households to economic downturns, and the subsequent impact on financial stability. This trend suggests a proactive approach by policymakers to prevent the recurrence of financial crises by managing credit cycles and ensuring the resilience of the financial system.
Active Measures Cross-Country Comparison
Latest reference data: 2025-09-02
In the last 12 months, borrower-based measures (BBMs) have been implemented or reinforced in several European countries, including Bulgaria, Croatia, and Greece. These measures, such as stricter Loan-to-Value (LTV) ratios, Debt-Service-to-Income (DSTI) limits, and loan maturity caps, aim to curb rapid credit growth and mitigate housing credit risks. Austria, while transitioning some measures to non-binding, maintains its limits, signaling a continued cautious approach. These actions reflect a broader objective to ensure financial stability and prevent excessive household indebtedness. Countercyclical Capital Buffers (CCyBs) have also seen increases in many countries, aimed at building resilience and mitigating systemic risks. (Source: LATEST CCyB TABLE, LATEST BBM TABLE)
Latest Borrower-based Measure Decisions
Over the past 12 months, borrower-based measures have been widely implemented across various European countries, primarily aiming to curb excessive household indebtedness and mitigate financial system risks. Authorities have focused on limiting loan-to-value (LTV) ratios, particularly for first-time buyers and in relation to property values, to prevent over-leveraging in the housing market. Similarly, debt-service-to-income (DSTI) limits have been introduced or maintained to ensure borrowers can manage their loan repayments even under adverse economic conditions, such as rising interest rates or stagnant income growth. Loan maturity limits have also been employed to discourage excessively long repayment periods, which can increase overall debt burden. The overarching objective of these measures is to enhance the resilience of the financial sector and protect borrowers from potential financial distress, thereby safeguarding macroeconomic stability.

LTV

LTV Measures (Loan-to-Value)
Latest reference data: 2025-09-02
Over the past 12 months, LTV limits and first-time buyer (FTB) exemptions have been actively managed across various European countries, primarily aiming to curb excessive borrowing and promote housing market stability. The objective is to prevent the accumulation of household debt and mitigate risks associated with potential property market downturns. While some countries have implemented specific FTB exemptions, such as higher LTV allowances in Greece and Iceland, the overall trend suggests a cautious approach to lending, with standard LTV limits often set at 80-90% to ensure borrowers have a meaningful equity stake. The primary risk addressed is systemic financial instability stemming from overleveraged households, though a secondary risk is the potential for these measures to inadvertently hinder access to homeownership for certain segments of the population.

DSTI

DSTI Measures (Debt Service-to-Income)
Content coming soon

DTI / LTI

DTI/LTI Measures (Debt-to-Income / Loan-to-Income)
Expert-verified: This table shows DTI/LTI measures with expert-verified data. Schema: Country, Type, Debt Counted, Legal Form, Standard Limit, Preferential Limit, Income Basis, Portfolio Limit, Nature of Breach, Exemptions, Regulation Link.

Reciprocation

Measures currently recommended for reciprocation
Reciprocation status by country

Country Profiles

Knowledge Graph

🧠 AI Analysis: Knowledge Graph Insights

The knowledge graph represents relationships between countries, measures, and policy patterns. This AI analysis compares graph-derived insights with table-based data to identify patterns, validate consistency, and highlight notable policy clusters.

Knowledge graph analysis is temporarily disabled for performance optimization.

About

Macro Policy Hub

An automated, AI-driven dashboard for tracking Macroprudential Policy (CCyB, SyRB, BBM) across the European Economic Area.

Business Value:
  • Time Efficiency: Reduces quarterly macroprudential reporting time from days to minutes by automating data retrieval, cleaning, and initial analysis. Real-time monitoring across 30+ EEA countries eliminates manual data collection.
  • Accuracy & Consistency: AI-validated data ensures accuracy and consistency. Expert corrections handle country-specific policy nuances. Structured extraction (regex + AI) reduces human error in data interpretation.
  • Cost Reduction: Eliminates hours of manual data entry, Excel manipulation, and cross-referencing. Scalable solution handles increasing data volumes without proportional cost increases.
  • Strategic Insights: AI-generated executive summaries enable quick decision-making. Cross-country comparison and trend analysis help identify policy patterns and anticipate future changes.
  • Operational Excellence: Standardized output ensures comparability. Unified dashboard for all macroprudential measures. Mobile accessibility supports remote work. Data portability enables further analysis.
Technology & Architecture

Technology Stack

Core Python, pandas
AI/ML LangChain, LangGraph, Gemini 2.5 Flash
Visualization Plotly
Frontend Jinja2, HTML/CSS/JS

Key Features

  • Multi-Pillar Monitoring (CCyB, SyRB, BBM, GSII/O-SII)
  • Country Profiles with comprehensive policy overview
  • Knowledge Graph Analysis for AI-enhanced insights and validation
  • AI-Driven Intelligence with Grounded Validation (using graph data)
  • Modern Mobile-Responsive UI
  • Robust ETL Pipeline

Data Sources

ESRB publications: CCyB dataset, Measures Overview (SyRB/BBM), Capital-Based Measures (GSII/O-SII).

System Architecture

Five-stage pipeline: Data Ingestion & ETL processes ESRB Excel files (CCyB, SyRB, BBM, GSII/O-SII) into Parquet storage with individual bank-level extraction and Supabase integration; Data Enrichment generates country profiles and knowledge graph relationships (countries, measures, banks) for enhanced AI context; BBM Processing extracts and validates structured LTV and DTI/LTI rules using regex and AI, supporting multiple limits/ranges; AI Analysis & Grounding uses LangGraph to orchestrate validation (extract claims → verify against data/charts/graph relationships → optional Google Search → refine with Gemini 2.5 Flash), including OSII/GSII bank-level analysis; Dashboard Layer renders HTML with embedded Plotly charts, interactive country/bank selectors, AI-generated insights, and optional Supabase-based dynamic data loading.

graph TD subgraph DataIngestion["Data Ingestion and ETL"] A["ESRB Data Source Excel Files"] -->|Download| B["Python ETL Pipeline"] B -->|"Clean, Normalize, Extract Banks"| C["Parquet Storage"] B -->|"Write Structured Data"| DB[("Supabase PostgreSQL DB")] end subgraph DataEnrichment["Data Enrichment"] C -->|"Country Data"| K["Country Profile Generator"] K -->|"Profiles"| L["Knowledge Graph Builder"] L -->|"Graph Data"| M["Country Profiles and Graph Data"] L -->|"Graph Context"| N["RAG Retriever"] K -->|"Write Profiles"| DB L -->|"Write Graph Data"| DB end subgraph BBMProcessing["BBM Processing"] C -->|"BBM Data"| O["LTV Extractor"] C -->|"BBM Data"| P["DTI/LTI Extractor"] O -->|"Extracted Rules"| Q["LTV Validator"] P -->|"Extracted Rules"| R["DTI/LTI Validator"] Q -->|"Validated Rules"| S["BBM Tables"] R -->|"Validated Rules"| S S -->|"Write BBM Rules"| DB end subgraph AICore["AI Analysis and Grounding"] C -->|"Retrieve Context"| D["LangGraph Validator"] H["Plotly Charts"] -->|"Chart Images"| D J["Google Search"] -->|"External Evidence"| D M -->|"Graph Context"| D N -->|"Retrieved Context"| E["Google Gemini 2.5 Flash"] S -->|"BBM Rules"| D D -->|"Raw Data and Images"| E E -->|"Draft Analysis"| D D -->|"Verified Output"| F["Final Analysis"] end subgraph Presentation["Dashboard Layer"] F --> G["Jinja2 Template Engine"] C -->|"Visual Data"| H M -->|"Country and Graph Data"| G S -->|"BBM Tables"| G DB -->|"Optional Dynamic Data"| G G --> I["HTML Dashboard"] H --> I end style A fill:#f9f,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style C fill:#f9f,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style DB fill:#3ecf8e,stroke:#333,stroke-width:3px style E fill:#bbf,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style D fill:#fef3c7,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style K fill:#fef3c7,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style L fill:#fef3c7,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style M fill:#f9f,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style N fill:#bbf,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style O fill:#d4edda,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style P fill:#d4edda,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style Q fill:#d4edda,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style R fill:#d4edda,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style S fill:#f9f,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px style I fill:#bfb,stroke:#333,stroke-width:2px
License

This project is open-source, licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0).